Iran Conflict? Nah. It’s the Tariffs.
While retail investors are still piling into $WLFI.X ( 0.0% ) , Trump’s quiet move in early June might make you rethink who’s really winning here. Let’s just say it lines up a little too perfectly with one of the biggest stablecoin IPOs ever…
Here’s what we got for you today:

⭐ 5 Things You Shouldn’t Miss
📱 X is turning into a ‘super app’ financially. X is about to launch in-app investing through a service called X Money. You’ll soon be able to store, send money or invest all within the app. There’s talk of an X-branded debit/credit card later this year. No crypto support confirmed, but X already has $BTC.X ( ▲ 1.11% ) tipping & real-time crypto prices.
Elon Musk’s X to offer investment and trading in ‘super app’ push
— Financial Times (@FT)
12:16 PM • Jun 19, 2025
⚠️ A crypto VC just lost all life savings in a targeted phishing attack, through a fake Zoom meeting. He got a Telegram message from “Alex Lin” for a meeting. Right before the call, “Alex” asked to switch to Zoom Business. After the call, Mehdi realized his computer was infected with malware. 6 crypto wallets were drained almost instantly.
One minute I was prepping for a Zoom call. Ten minutes later, large part of my life savings were gone.
It started with a message on Telegram from Alex Lin — someone I knew. He wanted to catch up.
I shared my Calendly link.
He booked a slot for the next day.A few minutes
— Mehdi Farooq (@MehdiFarooq2)
12:59 AM • Jun 19, 2025
💰 Trump family quietly cashed out of $WLFI.X ( 0.0% ) with $190M exit while investors keep buying in? In just the first 11 days of June 2025, Trump’s stake in WLFI’s Marks DEFI dropped from 60% to 40%. This sell-off happened right after Circle’s IPO, where the $USDC.X ( ▲ 0.0% ) issuer tripled in value. No direct link is confirmed, but it raises eyebrows.
Trump Company Reduces Stake In Crypto Venture on.forbes.com/60174pfi1
— Forbes (@Forbes)
1:34 PM • Jun 19, 2025
🚀 Binance just launched Soft Staking, you can now earn daily rewards from your Spot wallet without locking your tokens. Zero fees. Daily payouts. No lock-up. But your tokens must sit idle in your Spot wallet. Currently supported tokens: $SOL.X ( ▲ 2.2% ) , $ADA.X ( ▲ 0.57% ) , $POL.X ( ▲ 0.75% ) , $BNB.X ( ▲ 0.71% ) , $SUI.X ( ▲ 1.25% ) , $S.X ( ▼ 1.57% ) , $NEAR.X ( ▲ 0.98% ) , $TON.X ( ▲ 6.99% ) , $ALGO.X ( ▲ 0.34% ) , $AXS.X ( ▲ 2.95% ) . More notes here.
#BinanceEarn just launched Soft Staking! Earn daily rewards from your Spot assets.
Soft Staking lets you:
🔸 Zero redemption steps
🔸 Trade or withdraw anytime
🔸 Get daily staking rewards automaticallyMaximize your spot assets effortlessly ➡️ binance.com/en/support/ann…
— Binance (@binance)
8:05 AM • Jun 18, 2025
🔓 A massive leak of over 16 billion login credentials tied to Apple, Google, and Telegram is raising alarms in the crypto space. Hackers now have unprecedented access to target wallets, accounts, and identities. Even Tether’s CEO is already promoting new tools to protect user data, but the best protection is still basic personal security hygiene.
The cloud has failed us. Again.
16 billion passwords just leaked.
It’s time to ditch the cloud.That’s why we’ve been building PearPass — coming soon.
A fully local, open-source password manager. No cloud. No servers. No leaks. Ever.
Just you — and your keys, stored securely
— Paolo Ardoino 🤖 (@paoloardoino)
4:00 PM • Jun 19, 2025
📈 Why is the Fed Still Holding Rates at 4.25 – 4.5%?
After its June 18 meeting, the Fed has kept interest rates steady at 4.25 – 4.5%, the same level since December 2024 → 4th meeting in a row with no rate change.
But here’s what’s interesting:
-
Fed still expects to cut rates twice in 2025, sticking to its earlier projection
-
However, it’s now planning fewer cuts in 2026 and 2027
#Fed w/slightly bearish surprise. Keeps MonPolic steady as election votes tallied. Leaves rates unchanged near ZERO, repeats bond-buying stance. No material changes in the statement despite risk to the econ outlook. Raises modest risk of market disappointment to today’s outcome
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner)
7:14 PM • Nov 5, 2020
Target rate for 2027 is now 3.4% (higher than previously expected). So Why is the Fed still keeping interest rates high?
1️⃣ U.S. Job Market is Still Holding Steady
Unemployment is sitting at 4.2%, with 139,000 new jobs added → Yeah a bit below the forecast (200,000), but still solid enough to keep the economy stable.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
So for now, the Fed isn’t rushing to lower interest rates.
In the June 2025 Fed meeting, Jerome Powell shared a rare internal report showing unemployment could tick up to 4.5% soon → a signal that hiring may slow down in the coming months.

Source: Federal Reserve
If the job market weakens more than expected, the Fed might have to step in, but for now, they’re still playing it safe and waiting it out.
2️⃣ New Tax Cuts = More U.S. Debt, and the Fed’s Not Backing Down
A new tax cut plan is expected to add $2.4 trillion to U.S. public debt over the next decade → pushing total national debt to around $36.2 trillion.
As debt rises, the government has to issue more Treasury bonds to raise money.
→ More supply = lower bond prices → higher interest rates.
Cutting rates now would make borrowing cheaper, but with inflation still high, it could make things worse.
This also helps the Fed stay independent, avoiding pressure from the White House to lower rates for political gain.
🧠 Fun fact: U.S. debt is now as big as the combined GDP of China, Germany, Japan, India, and the UK. Let that sink in.
3️⃣ Middle East Tensions Could Spike Oil Prices & Inflation
As tensions grow between Iran and Western nations, especially after recent clashes with Israel, there’s rising concern Iran might shut down the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important oil shipping routes.
→ Oil prices could jump past $90/barrel (currently around $85).
So you know why we care about this?
-
Higher oil prices = more expensive transportation and production
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That trickles down to higher prices on everything, from groceries to goods
-
And yes, it could fuel another round of inflation
4️⃣ Trump Pushes Hard for Rate Cuts, Even if the Fed Won’t Budge
President Donald Trump is turning up the pressure on the Fed, calling current interest rates “too high” and saying he’ll take “very short-term action” to bring them down fast.
He even called Fed Chair Jerome Powell ‘a stupid person’.
President Trump rips Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell: “We have a stupid person, frankly at the Fed…He’s a political guy who’s not a smart guy, but he’s costing the country a fortune….I would’ve never reappointed him, Biden reappointed him.”
— Julia 🇺🇸 (@Jules31415)
3:29 PM • Jun 18, 2025
In May, the White House reopened trade negotiations with China and the EU, even pushing back new tariffs by 60 days to allow time for a deal.
→ But it wasn’t enough to convince the Fed to change its interest rate stance. Trump disagrees with Powell on keeping rates high. But he’s agreed to let Powell finish his term (ends in 2026)
This time, no big surprises or market shocks. Instead, traders are now watching global tensions, especially the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran, and whether the U.S. could get pulled in.
Jun 18, 2025
• Stocks were mixed as the Fed held rates steady.
• The Fed signaled it’s in no hurry to cut rates.
• U.S. markets are closed tomorrow for Juneteenth.
— Brew Markets (@brewmarkets)
10:29 PM • Jun 18, 2025
Looking ahead, the upcoming FOMC meeting on July 31 will likely hinge on June inflation and jobs data.
Until then, crypto traders (and everyone else) will be dissecting every word from Jerome Powell for clues, about how much volatility they’re willing to tolerate.
💸 Is A “Stablecoin Summer” Coming? Can BTC Withstand a Tariff War?
Experts say we might be heading toward a major boom in stablecoins, possibly a 10x surge in market value, thanks to a new U.S. law called the GENIUS Act. In this part, we’ll answer these questions clearly:
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Could the “stablecoin season” bring significant opportunities for investors and businesses?
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What’s next for the GENIUS Act, and when could it become law?
-
Can Bitcoin hold strong amid a Trump’s tariff war?
1️⃣ Stablecoins just Passed $250B, And Xould 10X if New U.S. Law Passes
A new report from Delphi Digital shows the total supply of stablecoins has now exceeded $250 billion, a huge milestone for the crypto space.
Stablecoin supply has passed $250 billion for the first time.
• Yield-bearing stablecoins are growing fast. Ethena has grown to nearly $6 billion since launch.
• Tether and Circle still dominate, holding a combined 86% of outstanding supply.
• Issuer diversity is increasing.— Delphi Digital (@Delphi_Digital)
6:59 PM • Jun 18, 2025
Top 2 players: Tether ($USDT.X ( ▼ 0.02% ) ) and Circle ($USDC.X ( ▲ 0.0% ) ) = 86% market share. Over $120B in U.S. Treasury bonds are locked in these stablecoins. And:
-
More than 10 stablecoins now have $100M+ in circulation
-
Stablecoins now make up 60% of all crypto trading volume (was 35% in 2023)
That means most crypto trades today involve stablecoins, not Bitcoin or altcoins directly.
Big names in crypto are feeling very bullish on stablecoins right now. And the reason? The upcoming GENIUS Act, a U.S. law that could finally bring clarity to how stablecoins are regulated.
Nick Tomaino (founder of 1confirmation) said that if the GENIUS Act passes, stablecoins could 10x in value, from $250B today to $2.5 trillion.
The GENIUS Act is great for crypto and stablecoin market cap will 10x from here ASAP because of it.
But the bill could be even better if it was decided by the people with skin in the game via futarchy rather than politicians beholden to corporate donors.
How a stablecoin bill
— Nick Tomaino (@NTmoney)
2:50 PM • Jun 17, 2025
Right now:
-
Stablecoins account for 60% of all crypto trading volume, up from 35% in 2023
-
That’s without any clear federal regulation yet
Brian Armstrong (Coinbase CEO) calls stablecoins a “viral loop” – they make it easier for people to get into crypto, which pulls in more users, more apps, more adoption.
Stablecoins are a viral loop for crypto onboarding:
Businesses Instantly feel
receive stables → the benefits↑ ↓
Pay vendors ← shocked.JPEG
in stables— Brian Armstrong (@brian_armstrong)
2:30 PM • Jun 17, 2025
Eric Golden (Canopy Capital) says stablecoins are on track to replace traditional payments, becoming the default method for sending and spending money globally.
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